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DownDownDownDown
OhioRiskManagement<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$5
Combined PnL
-$42.63
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares129
Combined PnL-$42.73
Up1 trader
Total Value$5
Total Shares5
Combined PnL+$0.1
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 38¢ | $28.14 | — | -$28.14 | 51% 7681-7235 (14916) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 38.4¢ | $14.19 | — | -$12.19 | 64% 23388-12902 (36290) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $0.8 | — | -$0.8 | 59% 62290-43460 (105750) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.6¢ | $1.6 | — | -$1.6 | 57% 71009-54091 (125100) |
OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 49% 78011-81515 (159526) |
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$28.14
Value
—
PnL
-$28.14
Record
51%
7681-7235 (14916)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$14.19
Value
—
PnL
-$12.19
Record
64%
23388-12902 (36290)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.8
Value
—
PnL
-$0.8
Record
59%
62290-43460 (105750)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$1.6
Value
—
PnL
-$1.6
Record
57%
71009-54091 (125100)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
49%
78011-81515 (159526)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x96f83723...80289a
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793387100