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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Resolved Down. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Up 58%

Total Value

$164.54

Combined PnL

$27.04

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 12 top traders (58%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders
Total Value$164.54
Total Shares165
Combined PnL+$62.8
Up7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares146
Combined PnL-$35.76
Down — 42%Up — 58%
AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$45.32

Value

$52.34

PnL

+$7.02

Record

64%

23388-12902 (36290)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$31.25

Value

—

PnL

-$31.25

Record

51%

7681-7235 (14916)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Down

Invested

$32.21

Value

$64.86

PnL

+$32.65

Record

58%

37915-27161 (65076)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100
Down

Invested

$14.45

Value

$30.58

PnL

+$16.13

Record

55%

17905-14498 (32403)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Down

Invested

$8

Value

$10

PnL

+$2

Record

49%

78011-81515 (159526)

UN
uninformedfloww<$100
Down

Invested

$1.76

Value

$6.76

PnL

+$5

Record

57%

71009-54091 (125100)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.2

Value

—

PnL

-$1.2

Record

66%

125935-64835 (190770)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.9

Value

—

PnL

-$0.9

Record

52%

90443-84945 (175388)

UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.22

Value

—

PnL

-$1.22

Record

63%

52008-30666 (82674)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.04

Value

—

PnL

-$1.04

Record

61%

95030-59937 (154967)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.1

Value

—

PnL

-$0.1

Record

59%

62290-43460 (105750)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

66%

112233-58692 (170925)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x7dd975b1...e259e8
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793383800

Traders in this Market

AA

aaa221

Down — $52.34

+$7.02
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Up — $0

-$31.25
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $64.86

+$32.65
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

Down — $30.58

+$16.13

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $10

+$2
UN

uninformedfloww

Down — $6.76

+$5
AS

asdaefef

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.2
DV

dvasdkasodk

CTR

Up — $0

-$0.9

UpandDownSyndrome

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.22
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.04
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