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UpDownDown
pspspsps5<$100Down
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100UpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 57%
Total Value
$83.96
Combined PnL
-$80.87
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares185
Combined PnL-$85.1
Down3 traders
Total Value$83.96
Total Shares84
Combined PnL+$4.23
Up — 57%Down — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 47.5¢ | $76.5 | — | -$76.5 | 57% 70965-54043 (125008) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 79.3¢ | $43.24 | $39.73 | -$3.51 | 51% 7651-7211 (14862) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 81.5¢ | $22 | $26.98 | +$4.98 | 64% 23325-12863 (36188) |
pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $14.49 | $17.25 | +$2.76 | 46% 38121-45024 (83145) |
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $6 | — | -$6 | 49% 77987-81500 (159487) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $2.55 | — | -$2.55 | 55% 17859-14473 (32332) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 112214-58657 (170871) |
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$76.5
Value
—
PnL
-$76.5
Record
57%
70965-54043 (125008)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$43.24
Value
$39.73
PnL
-$3.51
Record
51%
7651-7211 (14862)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$22
Value
$26.98
PnL
+$4.98
Record
64%
23325-12863 (36188)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$14.49
Value
$17.25
PnL
+$2.76
Record
46%
38121-45024 (83145)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$6
Value
—
PnL
-$6
Record
49%
77987-81500 (159487)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100Invested
$2.55
Value
—
PnL
-$2.55
Record
55%
17859-14473 (32332)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112214-58657 (170871)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2ab7e7bd...34659d
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793382000