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Down
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100UpUpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 80%
Total Value
$23.88
Combined PnL
-$8.81
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down1 trader
Total Value$23.88
Total Shares24
Combined PnL-$5.29
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares32
Combined PnL-$3.52
Down — 20%Up — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 78.9¢ | $29.17 | $23.88 | -$5.29 | 51% 7651-7211 (14862) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 63% 51987-30635 (82622) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 14¢ | $1.12 | — | -$1.12 | 52% 90403-84904 (175307) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 61% 94986-59906 (154892) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $0.35 | — | -$0.35 | 66% 125885-64811 (190696) |
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$29.17
Value
$23.88
PnL
-$5.29
Record
51%
7651-7211 (14862)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
63%
51987-30635 (82622)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.12
Value
—
PnL
-$1.12
Record
52%
90403-84904 (175307)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
61%
94986-59906 (154892)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$0.35
Value
—
PnL
-$0.35
Record
66%
125885-64811 (190696)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x09af67cb...0c55e3
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793381100