Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Down 56%
$31.64
-$22.51
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 13¢ | $3.25 | — | -$3.25 | 57% 70922-54007 (124929) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $12.39 | $8.94 | -$3.45 | 49% 77987-81500 (159487) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 84.5¢ | $11.06 | $11.64 | +$0.58 | 64% 23273-12819 (36092) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 52.1¢ | $11.13 | — | -$11.13 | 51% 7617-7193 (14810) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $5.7 | $6 | +$0.3 | 61% 94946-59871 (154817) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $4.8 | $5.05 | +$0.25 | 66% 125851-64777 (190628) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $1.02 | — | -$1.02 | 52% 90356-84870 (175226) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $2.39 | — | -$2.39 | 59% 62257-43437 (105694) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $2.4 | — | -$2.4 | 55% 17817-14432 (32249) |
Invested
$3.25
Value
—
PnL
-$3.25
Record
57%
70922-54007 (124929)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$12.39
Value
$8.94
PnL
-$3.45
Record
49%
77987-81500 (159487)
Invested
$11.06
Value
$11.64
PnL
+$0.58
Record
64%
23273-12819 (36092)
Invested
$11.13
Value
—
PnL
-$11.13
Record
51%
7617-7193 (14810)
Invested
$5.7
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.3
Record
61%
94946-59871 (154817)
Invested
$4.8
Value
$5.05
PnL
+$0.25
Record
66%
125851-64777 (190628)
Invested
$1.02
Value
—
PnL
-$1.02
Record
52%
90356-84870 (175226)
Invested
$2.39
Value
—
PnL
-$2.39
Record
59%
62257-43437 (105694)
Invested
$2.4
Value
—
PnL
-$2.4
Record
55%
17817-14432 (32249)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.