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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Down 67%

Total Value

$81.66

Combined PnL

-$31.18

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up3 traders
Total Value$81.66
Total Shares82
Combined PnL+$7.3
Down6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares514
Combined PnL-$38.48
Up — 33%Down — 67%
OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$48.29

Value

$53

PnL

+$4.71

Record

49%

77987-81500 (159487)

pspspsps5<$100
Up

Invested

$24.28

Value

$25

PnL

+$0.72

Record

46%

38121-45024 (83145)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$23.5

Value

—

PnL

-$23.5

Record

58%

37856-27105 (64961)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$5.88

Value

—

PnL

-$5.88

Record

57%

70922-54007 (124929)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.09

Value

—

PnL

-$4.09

Record

59%

62257-43437 (105694)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.32

Value

—

PnL

-$1.32

Record

64%

23273-12819 (36092)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.69

Value

—

PnL

-$2.69

Record

51%

7617-7193 (14810)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1

Value

—

PnL

-$1

Record

66%

125851-64777 (190628)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Up

Invested

$1.79

Value

$3.66

PnL

+$1.87

Record

56%

58095-44840 (102935)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x2cac62fc...ad990d
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793375700

Traders in this Market

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $53

+$4.71

pspspsps5

Up — $25

+$0.72
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

CTR

Down — $0

-$23.5
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Down — $0

-$5.88
0X

0x50f7

CTR

Down — $0

-$4.09
AA

aaa221

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.32
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Down — $0

-$2.69
AS

asdaefef

CTR

Down — $0

-$1
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $3.66

+$1.87
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