Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
10
Down 60%
$80.68
-$52.92
Smart Money Signal
6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 wowitsamazingCTR<$100 | Downavg 47.9¢ | $37.4 | — | -$37.4 | 57% 12662-9360 (22022) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 54.3¢ | $29.94 | $39.46 | +$9.52 | 51% 7617-7193 (14810) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 73.3¢ | $20.14 | $27.48 | +$7.34 | 49% 77987-81500 (159487) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 48.3¢ | $26.81 | — | -$26.81 | 57% 70922-54007 (124929) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $9.9 | $10 | +$0.1 | 61% 94946-59871 (154817) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $3.55 | $3.74 | +$0.19 | 46% 38121-45024 (83145) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $3.3 | — | -$3.3 | 55% 17817-14432 (32249) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.2¢ | $1.56 | — | -$1.56 | 59% 62257-43437 (105694) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $12.89 | — | -$0.95 | 64% 23273-12819 (36092) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 112191-58626 (170817) |
wowitsamazingCTR<$100Invested
$37.4
Value
—
PnL
-$37.4
Record
57%
12662-9360 (22022)
Invested
$29.94
Value
$39.46
PnL
+$9.52
Record
51%
7617-7193 (14810)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$20.14
Value
$27.48
PnL
+$7.34
Record
49%
77987-81500 (159487)
Invested
$26.81
Value
—
PnL
-$26.81
Record
57%
70922-54007 (124929)
Invested
$9.9
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.1
Record
61%
94946-59871 (154817)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$3.55
Value
$3.74
PnL
+$0.19
Record
46%
38121-45024 (83145)
Invested
$3.3
Value
—
PnL
-$3.3
Record
55%
17817-14432 (32249)
Invested
$1.56
Value
—
PnL
-$1.56
Record
59%
62257-43437 (105694)
Invested
$12.89
Value
—
PnL
-$0.95
Record
64%
23273-12819 (36092)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
112191-58626 (170817)
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