Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Up 63%
$37.7
-$124.9
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 33¢ | $43.93 | — | -$43.93 | 51% 7596-7161 (14757) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 80.8¢ | $32.85 | — | -$32.85 | 55% 17781-14392 (32173) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 85.4¢ | $31.88 | — | -$31.88 | 64% 23206-12791 (35997) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 80.8¢ | $26.25 | — | -$26.25 | 68% 99525-47913 (147438) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 47.2¢ | $15.67 | — | -$15.67 | 63% 51921-30603 (82524) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 28.6¢ | $9.14 | $18.5 | +$9.37 | 66% 125811-64748 (190559) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $1.44 | $9.6 | +$8.16 | 52% 90329-84819 (175148) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $1.44 | $9.6 | +$8.16 | 61% 94915-59834 (154749) |
Invested
$43.93
Value
—
PnL
-$43.93
Record
51%
7596-7161 (14757)
Invested
$32.85
Value
—
PnL
-$32.85
Record
55%
17781-14392 (32173)
Invested
$31.88
Value
—
PnL
-$31.88
Record
64%
23206-12791 (35997)
Invested
$26.25
Value
—
PnL
-$26.25
Record
68%
99525-47913 (147438)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$15.67
Value
—
PnL
-$15.67
Record
63%
51921-30603 (82524)
Invested
$9.14
Value
$18.5
PnL
+$9.37
Record
66%
125811-64748 (190559)
Invested
$1.44
Value
$9.6
PnL
+$8.16
Record
52%
90329-84819 (175148)
Invested
$1.44
Value
$9.6
PnL
+$8.16
Record
61%
94915-59834 (154749)
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