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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

14

Down 57%

Total Value

$376.37

Combined PnL

$23.57

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 14 top traders (57%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$376.37

Total Shares376

Combined PnL+$88.72

Down8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares191

Combined PnL-$65.14

Up — 43%Down — 57%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 45.7¢	$87.23	$101.65	+$14.42	68% 99525-47913 (147438)
UN uninformedfloww	Upavg 56.6¢	$94.3	$108.16	+$13.86	57% 70901-53981 (124882)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 44.2¢	$39.31	—	-$39.31	51% 7596-7161 (14757)
wowitsamazing	Upavg 49.7¢	$49.72	$100.06	+$50.34	57% 12656-9358 (22014)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 67.4¢	$38.76	$43.92	+$8.36	64% 23206-12791 (35997)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 93¢	$16.49	$12.23	-$4.26	66% 125811-64748 (190559)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 39¢	$5	—	-$5	66% 112173-58591 (170764)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Downavg 60.7¢	$9.1	—	-$9.1	55% 17781-14392 (32173)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 42¢	$4.2	—	-$4.2	55% 44917-37366 (82283)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 42¢	$4.35	$10.35	+$6	58% 37847-27088 (64935)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 21.3¢	$3.26	—	-$3.26	52% 90329-84819 (175148)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Downavg 21.3¢	$3.07	—	-$3.07	61% 94915-59834 (154749)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 17¢	$0.2	—	-$0.2	56% 58073-44827 (102900)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100	Downavg 3¢	$1	—	-$1	63% 51921-30603 (82524)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$87.23

Value

$101.65

PnL

+$14.42

Record

68%

99525-47913 (147438)

uninformedfloww

Invested

$94.3

Value

$108.16

PnL

+$13.86

Record

57%

70901-53981 (124882)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$39.31

Value

—

PnL

-$39.31

Record

51%

7596-7161 (14757)

Invested

$49.72

Value

$100.06

PnL

+$50.34

Record

57%

12656-9358 (22014)

Invested

$38.76

Value

$43.92

PnL

+$8.36

Record

64%

23206-12791 (35997)

Invested

$16.49

Value

$12.23

PnL

-$4.26

Record

66%

125811-64748 (190559)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$5

Value

—

PnL

-$5

Record

66%

112173-58591 (170764)

Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100

Invested

$9.1

Value

—

PnL

-$9.1

Record

55%

17781-14392 (32173)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$4.2

Value

—

PnL

-$4.2

Record

55%

44917-37366 (82283)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$4.35

Value

$10.35

PnL

+$6

Record

58%

37847-27088 (64935)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$3.26

Value

—

PnL

-$3.26

Record

52%

90329-84819 (175148)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$3.07

Value

—

PnL

-$3.07

Record

61%

94915-59834 (154749)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$0.2

Value

—

PnL

-$0.2

Record

56%

58073-44827 (102900)

UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100

Invested

$1

Value

—

PnL

-$1

Record

63%

51921-30603 (82524)

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 14 top traders (57%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x52a885b5...618593

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1793369700

Traders in this Market

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $101.65

uninformedfloww

Up — $108.16

ply-pm2

Down — $0

wowitsamazing

Up — $100.06

aaa221

Up — $43.92

asdaefef

Up — $12.23

antsaslyku

Down — $0

Kathod-Shi-14

Down — $0

MayorMamdani

Down — $0

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $10.35

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