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Up
MayorMamdani<$100DownDownUp
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100UpUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 57%
Total Value
$53.57
Combined PnL
-$122.84
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares252
Combined PnL-$135.19
Down3 traders
Total Value$53.57
Total Shares54
Combined PnL+$12.35
Up — 57%Down — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR | Upavg 38.8¢ | $124.46 | — | -$124.46 | 51% 7530-7094 (14624) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $22.84 | $23.57 | +$0.73 | 55% 44849-37309 (82158) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 53.8¢ | $17.23 | $25 | +$7.77 | 64% 23076-12710 (35786) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 21¢ | $3.84 | — | -$3.84 | 52% 90236-84735 (174971) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $4.74 | — | -$4.74 | 63% 51856-30563 (82419) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $2.15 | — | -$2.15 | 55% 17762-14385 (32147) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 23¢ | $1.15 | $5 | +$3.85 | 61% 94821-59772 (154593) |
PL
ply-pm2CTRInvested
$124.46
Value
—
PnL
-$124.46
Record
51%
7530-7094 (14624)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$22.84
Value
$23.57
PnL
+$0.73
Record
55%
44849-37309 (82158)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$17.23
Value
$25
PnL
+$7.77
Record
64%
23076-12710 (35786)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$3.84
Value
—
PnL
-$3.84
Record
52%
90236-84735 (174971)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$4.74
Value
—
PnL
-$4.74
Record
63%
51856-30563 (82419)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100Invested
$2.15
Value
—
PnL
-$2.15
Record
55%
17762-14385 (32147)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$1.15
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.85
Record
61%
94821-59772 (154593)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xce09a68e...53fb19
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793359200