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DownUpUpDown
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100UpUp Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Up β but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 67%
Total Value
$90.96
Combined PnL
-$7.14
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$90.96
Total Shares91
Combined PnL+$22.85
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares99
Combined PnL-$30
Down β 33%Up β 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 70.7Β’ | $42.3 | $59.87 | +$17.57 | 64% 23076-12710 (35786) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 17.9Β’ | $6.13 | β | -$6.13 | 51% 7530-7094 (14624) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 44.3Β’ | $13.7 | β | -$13.7 | 55% 17762-14385 (32147) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 83Β’ | $25.8 | $31.08 | +$5.28 | 65% 125137-66970 (192107) |
![]() UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 1Β’ | $0.25 | β | -$0.25 | 63% 51856-30563 (82419) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 52Β’ | $9.92 | β | -$9.92 | 66% 112118-58522 (170640) |
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$42.3
Value
$59.87
PnL
+$17.57
Record
64%
23076-12710 (35786)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$6.13
Value
β
PnL
-$6.13
Record
51%
7530-7094 (14624)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100Invested
$13.7
Value
β
PnL
-$13.7
Record
55%
17762-14385 (32147)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$25.8
Value
$31.08
PnL
+$5.28
Record
65%
125137-66970 (192107)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$0.25
Value
β
PnL
-$0.25
Record
63%
51856-30563 (82419)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$9.92
Value
β
PnL
-$9.92
Record
66%
112118-58522 (170640)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x027a5288...5a6a4e
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793358600