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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 57%
Total Value
$47.31
Combined PnL
-$23.82
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$47.31
Total Shares47
Combined PnL+$5.53
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares81
Combined PnL-$29.36
Up — 43%Down — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 67.5¢ | $29.52 | $30.31 | +$0.79 | 68% 99316-47652 (146968) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 28.6¢ | $21.3 | — | -$21.3 | 51% 7530-7094 (14624) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $6.86 | $7 | +$0.14 | 66% 125490-64588 (190078) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 54¢ | $5.4 | $10 | +$4.6 | 65% 125137-66970 (192107) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 71.1¢ | $7.15 | — | -$7.15 | 55% 17762-14385 (32147) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 39¢ | $0.66 | — | -$0.66 | 64% 23076-12710 (35786) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.24 | — | -$0.24 | 59% 62205-43384 (105589) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$29.52
Value
$30.31
PnL
+$0.79
Record
68%
99316-47652 (146968)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$21.3
Value
—
PnL
-$21.3
Record
51%
7530-7094 (14624)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$6.86
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.14
Record
66%
125490-64588 (190078)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$5.4
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.6
Record
65%
125137-66970 (192107)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100Invested
$7.15
Value
—
PnL
-$7.15
Record
55%
17762-14385 (32147)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$0.66
Value
—
PnL
-$0.66
Record
64%
23076-12710 (35786)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.24
Value
—
PnL
-$0.24
Record
59%
62205-43384 (105589)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2c680e4b...4f2146
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793357400