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DownUp
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$18.18
Combined PnL
-$31.41
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares98
Combined PnL-$36.78
Up1 trader
Total Value$18.18
Total Shares18
Combined PnL+$5.37
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 33.8¢ | $22.39 | — | -$22.39 | 51% 7486-7050 (14536) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 54.4¢ | $17.8 | $18.18 | +$5.37 | 64% 22980-12672 (35652) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $3.99 | — | -$3.99 | 63% 51816-30540 (82356) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $5.3 | — | -$5.3 | 65% 125073-66927 (192000) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $5.1 | — | -$5.1 | 55% 44800-37263 (82063) |
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$22.39
Value
—
PnL
-$22.39
Record
51%
7486-7050 (14536)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$17.8
Value
$18.18
PnL
+$5.37
Record
64%
22980-12672 (35652)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$3.99
Value
—
PnL
-$3.99
Record
63%
51816-30540 (82356)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$5.3
Value
—
PnL
-$5.3
Record
65%
125073-66927 (192000)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$5.1
Value
—
PnL
-$5.1
Record
55%
44800-37263 (82063)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x460ff640...7a02f3
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793342100