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DownDownUpDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$13.28
Combined PnL
-$27.42
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares314
Combined PnL-$30.3
Up2 traders
Total Value$13.28
Total Shares13
Combined PnL+$2.88
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $2.03 | — | -$2.03 | 58% 60468-44149 (104617) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 16.6¢ | $23.27 | — | -$23.27 | 51% 7452-7030 (14482) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $7.92 | $8 | +$0.08 | 52% 90141-84640 (174781) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 66% 112064-58449 (170513) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $2.48 | $5.28 | +$2.8 | 64% 22926-12644 (35570) |
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$2.03
Value
—
PnL
-$2.03
Record
58%
60468-44149 (104617)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$23.27
Value
—
PnL
-$23.27
Record
51%
7452-7030 (14482)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$7.92
Value
$8
PnL
+$0.08
Record
52%
90141-84640 (174781)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
66%
112064-58449 (170513)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$2.48
Value
$5.28
PnL
+$2.8
Record
64%
22926-12644 (35570)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9d638a25...54cccb
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793341500