Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Down 56%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$115.35

Combined PnL

-$51.56

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 9 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares214

Combined PnL-$67.63

Up4 traders

Total Value$82.96

Total Shares83

Combined PnL+$16.07

Down — 56%Up — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 44.7¢	$19.29	$32.39	+$13.11	51% 7416-7015 (14431)
└ Down leg	Downavg 5.6¢	$4.81	—	-$4.81
└ Up leg	Upavg 44.7¢	$14.47	$32.39	+$17.92
wowitsamazingCTR<$100	Downavg 49.1¢	$49.4	—	-$49.4	58% 12615-9290 (21905)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 77.7¢	$40.46	$52.09	+$11.62	64% 22856-12613 (35469)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100	Downavg 12.8¢	$10.49	—	-$10.49	48% 23240-25517 (48757)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Upavg 99¢	$16.84	$16.87	+$0.03	59% 62167-43333 (105500)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100	Downavg 6¢	$1.09	—	-$1.09	63% 51772-30494 (82266)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 82¢	$7.38	$9	+$1.62	65% 124925-66828 (191753)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 51¢	$5.2	—	-$5.2	58% 37772-27004 (64776)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 44¢	$2.2	$5	+$2.8	61% 94696-59644 (154340)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 42¢	$1.44	—	-$1.44	66% 112049-58418 (170467)

ply-pm2ARB<$100

Invested

$19.29

Value

$32.39

PnL

+$13.11

Record

51%

7416-7015 (14431)

Both legs:

Down$4.815.6¢-$4.81

Up$14.4744.7¢+$17.92

wowitsamazingCTR<$100

Invested

$49.4

Value

—

PnL

-$49.4

Record

58%

12615-9290 (21905)

Invested

$40.46

Value

$52.09

PnL

+$11.62

Record

64%

22856-12613 (35469)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100

Invested

$10.49

Value

—

PnL

-$10.49

Record

48%

23240-25517 (48757)

Invested

$16.84

Value

$16.87

PnL

+$0.03

Record

59%

62167-43333 (105500)

UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100

Invested

$1.09

Value

—

PnL

-$1.09

Record

63%

51772-30494 (82266)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$7.38

Value

$9

PnL

+$1.62

Record

65%

124925-66828 (191753)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$5.2

Value

—

PnL

-$5.2

Record

58%

37772-27004 (64776)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$2.2

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.8

Record

61%

94696-59644 (154340)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$1.44

Value

—

PnL

-$1.44

Record

66%

112049-58418 (170467)

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 9 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Sign in with your wallet to post.

Market Info

Condition ID

0xc6f4e4ca...634f45

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1793331600

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Arbitrage — excluded

wowitsamazing

Down — $0

aaa221

Up — $52.09

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Down — $0

0x50f7

Up — $16.87

UpandDownSyndrome

Down — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $9

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $0

asidjasiodja

Up — $5

antsaslyku

Down — $0

Trade on Polymarket