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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Down β€” but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Down 50%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$145.69

Combined PnL

-$47.2

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 8 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares146
Combined PnL-$59.91
Up4 traders
Total Value$49.76
Total Shares50
Combined PnL+$12.71
Down β€” 50%Up β€” 50%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x04c07539...ecdbd7
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793331300
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