Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
6
Up 50%
1 arb excluded
$164.93
-$16.28
Smart Money Signal
3 of 6 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 54.6¢ | $86.13 | $93.65 | +$7.52 | 51% 7416-7015 (14431) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 29.3¢ | $34.99 | — | -$34.99 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 54.6¢ | $51.14 | $93.65 | +$42.51 | |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 84.6¢ | $69.28 | $58.31 | -$9.99 | 65% 124925-66828 (191753) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $7.25 | — | -$6.25 | 64% 22856-12613 (35469) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $7.59 | $11 | +$3.41 | 55% 44748-37210 (81958) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $2.28 | — | -$2.28 | 52% 90119-84595 (174714) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $2.22 | — | -$2.22 | 61% 94696-59644 (154340) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $0.92 | $1.96 | +$1.04 | 58% 37772-27004 (64776) |
Invested
$86.13
Value
$93.65
PnL
+$7.52
Record
51%
7416-7015 (14431)
Both legs:
Invested
$69.28
Value
$58.31
PnL
-$9.99
Record
65%
124925-66828 (191753)
Invested
$7.25
Value
—
PnL
-$6.25
Record
64%
22856-12613 (35469)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$7.59
Value
$11
PnL
+$3.41
Record
55%
44748-37210 (81958)
Invested
$2.28
Value
—
PnL
-$2.28
Record
52%
90119-84595 (174714)
Invested
$2.22
Value
—
PnL
-$2.22
Record
61%
94696-59644 (154340)
Invested
$0.92
Value
$1.96
PnL
+$1.04
Record
58%
37772-27004 (64776)
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