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DownDownUpUp
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$98.52
Combined PnL
$4.67
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$98.52
Total Shares99
Combined PnL+$32.38
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares94
Combined PnL-$27.72
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 55.6¢ | $58.08 | $88.16 | +$30.08 | 51% 7342-6974 (14316) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 40.1¢ | $8.05 | $10.36 | +$2.31 | 52% 90032-84524 (174556) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 73¢ | $14.6 | — | -$14.6 | 64% 22724-12523 (35247) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $3.94 | — | -$3.94 | 61% 94613-59581 (154194) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 13.3¢ | $9.18 | — | -$9.18 | 63% 51715-30440 (82155) |
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$58.08
Value
$88.16
PnL
+$30.08
Record
51%
7342-6974 (14316)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$8.05
Value
$10.36
PnL
+$2.31
Record
52%
90032-84524 (174556)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$14.6
Value
—
PnL
-$14.6
Record
64%
22724-12523 (35247)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$3.94
Value
—
PnL
-$3.94
Record
61%
94613-59581 (154194)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$9.18
Value
—
PnL
-$9.18
Record
63%
51715-30440 (82155)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x534e5138...698c3c
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793322300