Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
6
Down 83%
1 arb excluded
$326.37
$62.46
Smart Money Signal
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 19.5Β’ | $274.49 | $88.7 | -$185.79 | 51% 7342-6974 (14316) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 19.5Β’ | $216.95 | β | -$216.95 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 64.9Β’ | $57.54 | $88.7 | +$31.16 | |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3Β’ | $7.77 | β | -$7.77 | 59% 62163-43312 (105475) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 48.1Β’ | $50.52 | $105 | +$54.48 | 58% 37728-26945 (64673) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 72Β’ | $35.53 | $37.75 | +$2.22 | 63% 51715-30440 (82155) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 69.5Β’ | $36.3 | $41.23 | +$4.93 | 56% 57878-44713 (102591) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 77Β’ | $16.9 | $21.94 | +$5.04 | 55% 44682-37145 (81827) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 88.8Β’ | $28.18 | $31.75 | +$3.56 | 64% 22724-12523 (35247) |
Invested
$274.49
Value
$88.7
PnL
-$185.79
Record
51%
7342-6974 (14316)
Both legs:
Invested
$7.77
Value
β
PnL
-$7.77
Record
59%
62163-43312 (105475)
Invested
$50.52
Value
$105
PnL
+$54.48
Record
58%
37728-26945 (64673)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$35.53
Value
$37.75
PnL
+$2.22
Record
63%
51715-30440 (82155)
Invested
$36.3
Value
$41.23
PnL
+$4.93
Record
56%
57878-44713 (102591)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$16.9
Value
$21.94
PnL
+$5.04
Record
55%
44682-37145 (81827)
Invested
$28.18
Value
$31.75
PnL
+$3.56
Record
64%
22724-12523 (35247)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0x50f7
CTRUp β $0
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $105

UpandDownSyndrome
Down β $37.75
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down β $41.23

MayorMamdani
Down β $21.94
aaa221
Down β $31.75