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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Up β€” but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

6

Up 50%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$314.95

Combined PnL

-$57.11

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 6 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares166
Combined PnL-$76.25
Down3 traders
Total Value$141.93
Total Shares142
Combined PnL+$19.13
Up β€” 50%Down β€” 50%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xbcb67881...6f9fd3
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793316600
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