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pspspsps5ARB<$100UpUpDownUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
4
Up 50%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$107.59
Combined PnL
-$46.37
Smart Money Signal
Up
2 of 4 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares55
Combined PnL-$46.51
Down2 traders
Total Value$14
Total Shares14
Combined PnL+$0.14
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
pspspsps5ARB<$100 | Upavg 19.6¢ | $46.56 | $93.59 | +$47.03 | 46% 38107-44997 (83104) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 19.6¢ | $28.75 | — | -$28.75 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 19¢ | $17.81 | $93.59 | +$75.77 | |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 85¢ | $46.46 | — | -$46.46 | 51% 7310-6941 (14251) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $8.91 | $9 | +$0.09 | 52% 89994-84473 (174467) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 111986-58335 (170321) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 61% 94572-59547 (154119) |
pspspsps5ARB<$100Invested
$46.56
Value
$93.59
PnL
+$47.03
Record
46%
38107-44997 (83104)
Both legs:
Up$28.7519.6¢-$28.75
Down$17.8119¢+$75.77
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$46.46
Value
—
PnL
-$46.46
Record
51%
7310-6941 (14251)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$8.91
Value
$9
PnL
+$0.09
Record
52%
89994-84473 (174467)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
111986-58335 (170321)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
61%
94572-59547 (154119)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2667c718...c57290
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793305800