Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Down 78%
1 arb excluded
$457.26
$27.76
Smart Money Signal
7 of 9 top traders (78%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 20.5¢ | $169.86 | $360.69 | +$190.84 | 51% 7272-6915 (14187) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 20.5¢ | $93.3 | — | -$93.3 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 21.2¢ | $76.56 | $360.69 | +$284.13 | |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $5.52 | — | -$5.52 | 62% 43705-26697 (70402) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $13.38 | $25.28 | +$11.9 | 58% 60356-44051 (104407) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 26.8¢ | $13.01 | — | -$13.01 | 64% 22587-12434 (35021) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $9.01 | $9 | -$0.01 | 63% 51644-30399 (82043) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $0.41 | $20.26 | +$19.85 | 46% 38100-44972 (83072) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 50.1¢ | $9.02 | $18 | +$8.98 | 52% 89954-84437 (174391) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $15.68 | $16 | +$0.32 | 61% 94531-59515 (154046) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $1.48 | $6.72 | +$5.24 | 56% 57825-44673 (102498) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $1.3 | $1.31 | +$0.01 | 74% 102349-36366 (138715) |
Invested
$169.86
Value
$360.69
PnL
+$190.84
Record
51%
7272-6915 (14187)
Both legs:
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$5.52
Value
—
PnL
-$5.52
Record
62%
43705-26697 (70402)
Invested
$13.38
Value
$25.28
PnL
+$11.9
Record
58%
60356-44051 (104407)
Invested
$13.01
Value
—
PnL
-$13.01
Record
64%
22587-12434 (35021)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$9.01
Value
$9
PnL
-$0.01
Record
63%
51644-30399 (82043)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$0.41
Value
$20.26
PnL
+$19.85
Record
46%
38100-44972 (83072)
Invested
$9.02
Value
$18
PnL
+$8.98
Record
52%
89954-84437 (174391)
Invested
$15.68
Value
$16
PnL
+$0.32
Record
61%
94531-59515 (154046)
Invested
$1.48
Value
$6.72
PnL
+$5.24
Record
56%
57825-44673 (102498)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$1.3
Value
$1.31
PnL
+$0.01
Record
74%
102349-36366 (138715)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp — $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $25.28
aaa221
CTRUp — $0
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $9
pspspsps5
Down — $20.26
dvasdkasodk
Down — $18
asidjasiodja
Down — $16
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $6.72
BoneOhio
Down — $1.31