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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - October 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

Up 63%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$224.89

Combined PnL

$19.06

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 8 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$112.11

Total Shares112

Combined PnL+$37.84

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares40

Combined PnL-$18.78

Up — 63%Down — 37%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 49.9¢	$106.79	$112.78	+$5.99	51% 7272-6915 (14187)
└ Down leg	Downavg 20.8¢	$50.49	—	-$50.49
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.9¢	$56.3	$112.78	+$56.48
UpandDownSyndrome<$100	Upavg 78¢	$27.95	$28.69	+$0.74	63% 51644-30399 (82043)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 49¢	$19.11	$39	+$19.89	58% 37673-26899 (64572)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 85¢	$13.22	$9.07	-$4.14	64% 22587-12434 (35021)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 38.3¢	$11.9	$31.07	+$19.17	55% 44610-37084 (81694)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 59¢	$14.41	—	-$14.41	66% 111959-58297 (170256)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Downavg 18¢	$2.3	—	-$2.3	61% 94531-59515 (154046)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 19¢	$2.07	—	-$2.07	52% 89954-84437 (174391)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100	Upavg 49¢	$2.09	$4.27	+$2.18	48% 23211-25441 (48652)

ply-pm2ARB<$100

Invested

$106.79

Value

$112.78

PnL

+$5.99

Record

51%

7272-6915 (14187)

Both legs:

Down$50.4920.8¢-$50.49

Up$56.349.9¢+$56.48

UpandDownSyndrome<$100

Invested

$27.95

Value

$28.69

PnL

+$0.74

Record

63%

51644-30399 (82043)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$19.11

Value

$39

PnL

+$19.89

Record

58%

37673-26899 (64572)

Invested

$13.22

Value

$9.07

PnL

-$4.14

Record

64%

22587-12434 (35021)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$11.9

Value

$31.07

PnL

+$19.17

Record

55%

44610-37084 (81694)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$14.41

Value

—

PnL

-$14.41

Record

66%

111959-58297 (170256)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$2.3

Value

—

PnL

-$2.3

Record

61%

94531-59515 (154046)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$2.07

Value

—

PnL

-$2.07

Record

52%

89954-84437 (174391)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100

Invested

$2.09

Value

$4.27

PnL

+$2.18

Record

48%

23211-25441 (48652)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 8 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x83654b06...8d6315

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1793302800

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Arbitrage — excluded

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $28.69

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $39

aaa221

Up — $9.07

MayorMamdani

Up — $31.07

antsaslyku

Down — $0

asidjasiodja

Down — $0

dvasdkasodk

Down — $0

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Up — $4.27

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