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UpDown
pspspsps5CTR<$100DownDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$35.83
Combined PnL
-$6.06
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up1 trader
Total Value$35.83
Total Shares36
Combined PnL+$0.49
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares32
Combined PnL-$6.55
Up — 20%Down — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 92.5¢ | $35.34 | $35.83 | +$0.49 | 51% 7272-6915 (14187) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $5.64 | — | -$5.64 | 58% 37673-26899 (64572) |
pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.31 | — | -$0.31 | 46% 38100-44972 (83072) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $0.16 | — | -$0.16 | 59% 62143-43276 (105419) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 16¢ | $0.44 | — | -$0.44 | 64% 22587-12434 (35021) |
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$35.34
Value
$35.83
PnL
+$0.49
Record
51%
7272-6915 (14187)
0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100Invested
$5.64
Value
—
PnL
-$5.64
Record
58%
37673-26899 (64572)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.31
Value
—
PnL
-$0.31
Record
46%
38100-44972 (83072)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.16
Value
—
PnL
-$0.16
Record
59%
62143-43276 (105419)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$0.44
Value
—
PnL
-$0.44
Record
64%
22587-12434 (35021)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3d27707b...c031d5
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793302200