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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Down 67%

Total Value

$71.02

Combined PnL

-$16.58

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares180

Combined PnL-$22.73

Up3 traders

Total Value$71.02

Total Shares71

Combined PnL+$6.14

Down — 67%Up — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Downavg 3¢	$2.73	—	-$2.73	59% 62125-43247 (105372)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 75¢	$26.29	$32.14	+$5.85	51% 7227-6854 (14081)
0X 0xde5d9a7dce9faf8df086c066b698375c1d2d9192CTR<$100	Downavg 26¢	$9	—	-$9	61% 120-76 (196)
OX oxe78sh4w98CTR<$100	Downavg 25¢	$8.04	—	-$8.04	52% 368-345 (713)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 81.3¢	$23.48	$28.88	+$5.4	64% 22483-12377 (34860)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 98¢	$15.11	$10	-$5.11	58% 37618-26852 (64470)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 6¢	$0.6	—	-$0.6	56% 57797-44645 (102442)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 13¢	$1.3	—	-$1.3	52% 89899-84354 (174253)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Downavg 48¢	$1.07	—	-$1.07	55% 17687-14297 (31984)

Invested

$2.73

Value

—

PnL

-$2.73

Record

59%

62125-43247 (105372)

Invested

$26.29

Value

$32.14

PnL

+$5.85

Record

51%

7227-6854 (14081)

0xde5d9a7dce9faf8df086c066b698375c1d2d9192CTR<$100

Invested

$9

Value

—

PnL

-$9

Record

61%

120-76 (196)

oxe78sh4w98CTR<$100

Invested

$8.04

Value

—

PnL

-$8.04

Record

52%

368-345 (713)

Invested

$23.48

Value

$28.88

PnL

+$5.4

Record

64%

22483-12377 (34860)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$15.11

Value

$10

PnL

-$5.11

Record

58%

37618-26852 (64470)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$0.6

Value

—

PnL

-$0.6

Record

56%

57797-44645 (102442)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$1.3

Value

—

PnL

-$1.3

Record

52%

89899-84354 (174253)

Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100

Invested

$1.07

Value

—

PnL

-$1.07

Record

55%

17687-14297 (31984)

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x30ccfef0...7f4ffa

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1793287200

Traders in this Market

0x50f7

Down — $0

ply-pm2

Up — $32.14

0xde5d9a7dce9faf8df086c066b698375c1d2d9192

Down — $0

oxe78sh4w98

Down — $0

aaa221

Up — $28.88

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $10

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $0

dvasdkasodk

Down — $0

Kathod-Shi-14

Down — $0

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