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UpUpUpUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 80%
Total Value
$5
Combined PnL
-$13.63
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares58
Combined PnL-$16.68
Down1 trader
Total Value$5
Total Shares5
Combined PnL+$3.05
Up — 80%Down — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.6¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 57% 70359-53462 (123821) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $0.39 | — | -$0.39 | 59% 62118-43235 (105353) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 49.9¢ | $5.87 | — | -$5.87 | 51% 7193-6839 (14032) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 65.9¢ | $9.45 | — | -$9.01 | 65% 22438-12338 (34776) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 39¢ | $1.95 | $5 | +$3.05 | 56% 57788-44629 (102417) |
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
57%
70359-53462 (123821)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.39
Value
—
PnL
-$0.39
Record
59%
62118-43235 (105353)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$5.87
Value
—
PnL
-$5.87
Record
51%
7193-6839 (14032)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$9.45
Value
—
PnL
-$9.01
Record
65%
22438-12338 (34776)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100Invested
$1.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.05
Record
56%
57788-44629 (102417)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x55d31236...87abad
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793285100