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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Up 56%

Total Value

$164.67

Combined PnL

$43.38

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders

Total Value$164.67

Total Shares165

Combined PnL+$89.82

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares170

Combined PnL-$46.44

Down — 44%Up — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
wowitsamazing	Downavg 39.4¢	$49.91	$126.81	+$76.9	58% 12551-9211 (21762)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Upavg 54.9¢	$25.29	—	-$25.29	51% 7193-6839 (14032)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 46.7¢	$16.23	—	-$16.23	57% 70359-53462 (123821)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 88¢	$12.24	$13.84	+$1.6	65% 22438-12338 (34776)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 51¢	$7.7	$15.1	+$7.4	58% 37589-26837 (64426)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Downavg 56¢	$5	$8.92	+$3.92	66% 111894-58227 (170121)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 12¢	$1.08	—	-$1.08	52% 89866-84321 (174187)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Upavg 12¢	$1.08	—	-$1.08	61% 94436-59427 (153863)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Upavg 3.9¢	$2.76	—	-$2.76	59% 62118-43235 (105353)

Invested

$49.91

Value

$126.81

PnL

+$76.9

Record

58%

12551-9211 (21762)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$25.29

Value

—

PnL

-$25.29

Record

51%

7193-6839 (14032)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$16.23

Value

—

PnL

-$16.23

Record

57%

70359-53462 (123821)

Invested

$12.24

Value

$13.84

PnL

+$1.6

Record

65%

22438-12338 (34776)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$7.7

Value

$15.1

PnL

+$7.4

Record

58%

37589-26837 (64426)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$5

Value

$8.92

PnL

+$3.92

Record

66%

111894-58227 (170121)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$1.08

Value

—

PnL

-$1.08

Record

52%

89866-84321 (174187)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$1.08

Value

—

PnL

-$1.08

Record

61%

94436-59427 (153863)

Invested

$2.76

Value

—

PnL

-$2.76

Record

59%

62118-43235 (105353)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xde862553...ef1770

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1793284800

Traders in this Market

wowitsamazing

Down — $126.81

ply-pm2

Up — $0

uninformedfloww

Up — $0

aaa221

Down — $13.84

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $15.1

antsaslyku

Down — $8.92

dvasdkasodk

Up — $0

asidjasiodja

Up — $0

0x50f7

Up — $0

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