Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Up 86%
1 arb excluded
$537.03
$64.08
Smart Money Signal
6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2 | Upavg 82.5¢ | $236.71 | $282.21 | +$45.5 | 51% 7193-6839 (14032) |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 86.7¢ | $117.45 | $135.49 | +$18.04 | 46% 38045-44903 (82948) |
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Upavg 89.5¢ | $53.11 | $50 | -$3.11 | 57% 70359-53462 (123821) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 89.5¢ | $44.75 | $50 | +$5.25 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 17.5¢ | $8.36 | — | -$8.36 | |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 7.7¢ | $7.04 | — | -$7.04 | 63% 51591-30353 (81944) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 82.2¢ | $25.6 | $31.15 | +$5.55 | 55% 44511-37010 (81521) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 91.4¢ | $19.34 | $21.15 | +$1.81 | 65% 22438-12338 (34776) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 92.8¢ | $11.27 | $11.03 | -$0.24 | 52% 89866-84321 (174187) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 90¢ | $5.55 | $6 | +$0.45 | 66% 125199-64428 (189627) |
Invested
$236.71
Value
$282.21
PnL
+$45.5
Record
51%
7193-6839 (14032)
pspspsps5Invested
$117.45
Value
$135.49
PnL
+$18.04
Record
46%
38045-44903 (82948)
Invested
$53.11
Value
$50
PnL
-$3.11
Record
57%
70359-53462 (123821)
Both legs:
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$7.04
Value
—
PnL
-$7.04
Record
63%
51591-30353 (81944)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$25.6
Value
$31.15
PnL
+$5.55
Record
55%
44511-37010 (81521)
Invested
$19.34
Value
$21.15
PnL
+$1.81
Record
65%
22438-12338 (34776)
Invested
$11.27
Value
$11.03
PnL
-$0.24
Record
52%
89866-84321 (174187)
Invested
$5.55
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.45
Record
66%
125199-64428 (189627)
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