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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

8

Down 75%

Total Value

$118.24

Combined PnL

$34.03

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares350

Combined PnL-$33.58

Up2 traders

Total Value$118.24

Total Shares118

Combined PnL+$67.61

Down — 75%Up — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 2.3¢	$3.4	—	-$3.4	46% 38045-44903 (82948)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100	Downavg 2.4¢	$3.08	—	-$3.08	48% 23186-25395 (48581)
wowitsamazing	Upavg 42.7¢	$49.63	$116.24	+$66.61	58% 12551-9211 (21762)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 49.5¢	$13.53	—	-$13.53	51% 7193-6839 (14032)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 36.7¢	$9.27	—	-$9.27	57% 70359-53462 (123821)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Downavg 4¢	$0.6	—	-$0.6	66% 125199-64428 (189627)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 51.3¢	$3.7	—	-$3.7	65% 22438-12338 (34776)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Upavg 50¢	$1	$2	+$1	58% 37589-26837 (64426)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$3.4

Value

—

PnL

-$3.4

Record

46%

38045-44903 (82948)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100

Invested

$3.08

Value

—

PnL

-$3.08

Record

48%

23186-25395 (48581)

Invested

$49.63

Value

$116.24

PnL

+$66.61

Record

58%

12551-9211 (21762)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$13.53

Value

—

PnL

-$13.53

Record

51%

7193-6839 (14032)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$9.27

Value

—

PnL

-$9.27

Record

57%

70359-53462 (123821)

asdaefefCTR<$100

Invested

$0.6

Value

—

PnL

-$0.6

Record

66%

125199-64428 (189627)

Invested

$3.7

Value

—

PnL

-$3.7

Record

65%

22438-12338 (34776)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$1

Value

$2

PnL

+$1

Record

58%

37589-26837 (64426)

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x410f3ded...025f70

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1793281200

Traders in this Market

pspspsps5

Down — $0

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Down — $0

wowitsamazing

Up — $116.24

ply-pm2

Down — $0

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

asdaefef

Down — $0

aaa221

Down — $0

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $2

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