Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Down 50%
$44.3
-$13.5
Smart Money Signal
4 of 9 top traders (44%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.9¢ | $2.07 | — | -$2.07 | 59% 62106-43221 (105327) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 11.6¢ | $12.51 | — | -$12.51 | 51% 7184-6826 (14010) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $18.83 | $18.89 | +$0.06 | 57% 70341-53444 (123785) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $11.76 | $12 | +$0.24 | 66% 125156-64405 (189561) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $1.52 | — | -$1.52 | 52% 89831-84292 (174123) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 89.7¢ | $8.13 | $9.07 | +$0.94 | 46% 38032-44873 (82905) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 55% 17660-14270 (31930) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $1.61 | $4.13 | +$2.52 | 58% 60288-44012 (104300) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $0.17 | $0.21 | +$0.04 | 65% 22398-12314 (34712) |
Invested
$2.07
Value
—
PnL
-$2.07
Record
59%
62106-43221 (105327)
Invested
$12.51
Value
—
PnL
-$12.51
Record
51%
7184-6826 (14010)
Invested
$18.83
Value
$18.89
PnL
+$0.06
Record
57%
70341-53444 (123785)
Invested
$11.76
Value
$12
PnL
+$0.24
Record
66%
125156-64405 (189561)
Invested
$1.52
Value
—
PnL
-$1.52
Record
52%
89831-84292 (174123)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$8.13
Value
$9.07
PnL
+$0.94
Record
46%
38032-44873 (82905)
Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
55%
17660-14270 (31930)
Invested
$1.61
Value
$4.13
PnL
+$2.52
Record
58%
60288-44012 (104300)
Invested
$0.17
Value
$0.21
PnL
+$0.04
Record
65%
22398-12314 (34712)
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