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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 80%
Total Value
$30.49
Combined PnL
-$12.51
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares64
Combined PnL-$20.85
Down1 trader
Total Value$30.49
Total Shares30
Combined PnL+$8.34
Up — 80%Down — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 25.9¢ | $15.79 | — | -$15.79 | 51% 7184-6826 (14010) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 72.7¢ | $22.15 | $30.49 | +$8.34 | 55% 17660-14270 (31930) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 24¢ | $3.76 | — | -$3.76 | 57% 70341-53444 (123785) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 25¢ | $1.25 | — | -$1.25 | 65% 22398-12314 (34712) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 111875-58207 (170082) |
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$15.79
Value
—
PnL
-$15.79
Record
51%
7184-6826 (14010)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100Invested
$22.15
Value
$30.49
PnL
+$8.34
Record
55%
17660-14270 (31930)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$3.76
Value
—
PnL
-$3.76
Record
57%
70341-53444 (123785)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$1.25
Value
—
PnL
-$1.25
Record
65%
22398-12314 (34712)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
111875-58207 (170082)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa3d4be2c...cf676c
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793280000