Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Resolved Up. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
13
Up 54%
1 arb excluded
$665.87
-$81.52
Smart Money Signal
7 of 13 top traders (54%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 43.3Β’ | $154.35 | $217.89 | +$63.54 | 51% 7184-6826 (14010) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 23.8Β’ | $60.03 | β | -$60.03 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 43.3Β’ | $94.32 | $217.89 | +$123.57 | |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Upavg 91.7Β’ | $275.17 | $195 | +$23.78 | 48% 23173-25375 (48548) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 72Β’ | $109.93 | $137.82 | +$27.89 | 57% 70341-53444 (123785) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 5.7Β’ | $7.89 | β | -$7.89 | 46% 38032-44873 (82905) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 57.9Β’ | $37.22 | β | -$37.22 | 66% 111875-58207 (170082) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 56.1Β’ | $60.12 | β | -$55.99 | 65% 22398-12314 (34712) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 57.3Β’ | $22.95 | $25.23 | +$2.28 | 66% 125156-64405 (189561) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 59.9Β’ | $25.01 | $22.79 | -$2.22 | 61% 94398-59400 (153798) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 64Β’ | $30.48 | β | -$30.48 | 52% 89831-84292 (174123) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 51Β’ | $23.14 | β | -$23.14 | 55% 44484-36982 (81466) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 69Β’ | $28.36 | $36.85 | +$8.49 | 63% 51566-30344 (81910) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Upavg 38Β’ | $9.61 | $25.29 | +$15.68 | 56% 57773-44618 (102391) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 27.4Β’ | $4.15 | β | -$4.15 | 55% 17660-14270 (31930) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 71Β’ | $3.55 | $5 | +$1.45 | 58% 60288-44012 (104300) |
Invested
$154.35
Value
$217.89
PnL
+$63.54
Record
51%
7184-6826 (14010)
Both legs:
Invested
$275.17
Value
$195
PnL
+$23.78
Record
48%
23173-25375 (48548)
Invested
$109.93
Value
$137.82
PnL
+$27.89
Record
57%
70341-53444 (123785)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$7.89
Value
β
PnL
-$7.89
Record
46%
38032-44873 (82905)
Invested
$37.22
Value
β
PnL
-$37.22
Record
66%
111875-58207 (170082)
Invested
$60.12
Value
β
PnL
-$55.99
Record
65%
22398-12314 (34712)
Invested
$22.95
Value
$25.23
PnL
+$2.28
Record
66%
125156-64405 (189561)
Invested
$25.01
Value
$22.79
PnL
-$2.22
Record
61%
94398-59400 (153798)
Invested
$30.48
Value
β
PnL
-$30.48
Record
52%
89831-84292 (174123)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$23.14
Value
β
PnL
-$23.14
Record
55%
44484-36982 (81466)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$28.36
Value
$36.85
PnL
+$8.49
Record
63%
51566-30344 (81910)
Invested
$9.61
Value
$25.29
PnL
+$15.68
Record
56%
57773-44618 (102391)
Invested
$4.15
Value
β
PnL
-$4.15
Record
55%
17660-14270 (31930)
Invested
$3.55
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.45
Record
58%
60288-44012 (104300)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Up β $195
uninformedfloww
Up β $137.82

pspspsps5
CTRDown β $0
antsaslyku
CTRDown β $0
aaa221
CTRDown β $0
asdaefef
Up β $25.23
asidjasiodja
Up β $22.79
dvasdkasodk
CTRDown β $0

MayorMamdani
CTRDown β $0