Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - October 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Down 57%
1 arb excluded
$78.26
-$5.88
Smart Money Signal
4 of 8 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 26.4Β’ | $44.78 | $51.87 | +$7.09 | 51% 7170-6800 (13970) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 26.4Β’ | $25.99 | β | -$25.99 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 36.2Β’ | $18.8 | $51.87 | +$33.07 | |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 26Β’ | $9.51 | β | -$9.51 | 57% 70317-53442 (123759) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 26Β’ | $3.84 | β | -$3.84 | 46% 38019-44852 (82871) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 71Β’ | $7.1 | $10.01 | +$2.91 | 55% 44462-36957 (81419) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 69Β’ | $6.74 | $9.77 | +$3.03 | 63% 51542-30333 (81875) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 38Β’ | $2 | $5.26 | +$3.26 | 66% 125109-64377 (189486) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 34Β’ | $1.7 | β | -$1.7 | 52% 89796-84260 (174056) |
![]() BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $1.34 | $1.35 | +$0.01 | 74% 102303-36356 (138659) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 82Β’ | $0.04 | β | -$0.04 | 65% 22359-12289 (34648) |
Invested
$44.78
Value
$51.87
PnL
+$7.09
Record
51%
7170-6800 (13970)
Both legs:
Invested
$9.51
Value
β
PnL
-$9.51
Record
57%
70317-53442 (123759)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$3.84
Value
β
PnL
-$3.84
Record
46%
38019-44852 (82871)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$7.1
Value
$10.01
PnL
+$2.91
Record
55%
44462-36957 (81419)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$6.74
Value
$9.77
PnL
+$3.03
Record
63%
51542-30333 (81875)
Invested
$2
Value
$5.26
PnL
+$3.26
Record
66%
125109-64377 (189486)
Invested
$1.7
Value
β
PnL
-$1.7
Record
52%
89796-84260 (174056)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$1.34
Value
$1.35
PnL
+$0.01
Record
74%
102303-36356 (138659)
Invested
$0.04
Value
β
PnL
-$0.04
Record
65%
22359-12289 (34648)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.