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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$93.22
Combined PnL
-$8.04
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$93.22
Total Shares93
Combined PnL-$3.66
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares31
Combined PnL-$4.37
Up — 33%Down — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 90.2¢ | $67.11 | $65.26 | -$1.84 | 51% 7170-6800 (13970) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 84.2¢ | $29.78 | $27.96 | -$1.82 | 57% 70317-53442 (123759) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $1.26 | — | -$1.26 | 66% 125109-64377 (189486) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $1.12 | — | -$1.12 | 52% 89796-84260 (174056) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.09 | — | -$0.09 | 59% 62097-43210 (105307) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $1.9 | — | -$1.9 | 61% 94365-59372 (153737) |
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$67.11
Value
$65.26
PnL
-$1.84
Record
51%
7170-6800 (13970)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$29.78
Value
$27.96
PnL
-$1.82
Record
57%
70317-53442 (123759)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$1.26
Value
—
PnL
-$1.26
Record
66%
125109-64377 (189486)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.12
Value
—
PnL
-$1.12
Record
52%
89796-84260 (174056)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.09
Value
—
PnL
-$0.09
Record
59%
62097-43210 (105307)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.9
Value
—
PnL
-$1.9
Record
61%
94365-59372 (153737)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5e1700d3...68aa4c
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793273700