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UpDownUpDownDownUp
pspspsps5CTR<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 57%
Total Value
$49.56
Combined PnL
-$36.45
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares149
Combined PnL-$40.38
Down3 traders
Total Value$49.56
Total Shares50
Combined PnL+$3.93
Up — 57%Down — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 18.1¢ | $21.89 | — | -$21.89 | 51% 7170-6800 (13970) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $21.75 | $25 | +$3.25 | 57% 70317-53442 (123759) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 37.2¢ | $11.53 | — | -$11.53 | 56% 57762-44611 (102373) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $12.07 | $13.56 | +$1.49 | 65% 22359-12289 (34648) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $11.81 | $11 | -$0.81 | 66% 125109-64377 (189486) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $5.64 | — | -$5.64 | 58% 37558-26812 (64370) |
pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 6¢ | $1.31 | — | -$1.31 | 46% 38019-44852 (82871) |
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$21.89
Value
—
PnL
-$21.89
Record
51%
7170-6800 (13970)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$21.75
Value
$25
PnL
+$3.25
Record
57%
70317-53442 (123759)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$11.53
Value
—
PnL
-$11.53
Record
56%
57762-44611 (102373)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$12.07
Value
$13.56
PnL
+$1.49
Record
65%
22359-12289 (34648)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$11.81
Value
$11
PnL
-$0.81
Record
66%
125109-64377 (189486)
0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100Invested
$5.64
Value
—
PnL
-$5.64
Record
58%
37558-26812 (64370)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.31
Value
—
PnL
-$1.31
Record
46%
38019-44852 (82871)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3c4e518b...1d17ad
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793272500