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pspspsps5<$100DownUpUpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 80%
Total Value
$70.28
Combined PnL
-$17.42
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down1 trader
Total Value$70.28
Total Shares70
Combined PnL+$4.7
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares245
Combined PnL-$22.12
Down — 20%Up — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 93.3¢ | $65.58 | $70.28 | +$4.7 | 46% 38019-44852 (82871) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 10.3¢ | $5.89 | — | -$5.89 | 51% 7170-6800 (13970) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $8 | — | -$8 | 65% 22359-12289 (34648) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 3.9¢ | $6.16 | — | -$6.16 | 48% 23169-25372 (48541) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $2.08 | — | -$2.08 | 57% 70317-53442 (123759) |
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$65.58
Value
$70.28
PnL
+$4.7
Record
46%
38019-44852 (82871)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$5.89
Value
—
PnL
-$5.89
Record
51%
7170-6800 (13970)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$8
Value
—
PnL
-$8
Record
65%
22359-12289 (34648)
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100Invested
$6.16
Value
—
PnL
-$6.16
Record
48%
23169-25372 (48541)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$2.08
Value
—
PnL
-$2.08
Record
57%
70317-53442 (123759)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x820eac63...ab2c6e
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793271300