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UpDown
OhioRiskManagement<$100DownUpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 67%
Total Value
$63.89
Combined PnL
-$27.51
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares94
Combined PnL-$41.92
Down2 traders
Total Value$63.89
Total Shares64
Combined PnL+$14.41
Up — 67%Down — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 39.9¢ | $30.78 | — | -$30.78 | 51% 7152-6771 (13923) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 59.9¢ | $36.83 | $35.87 | -$0.96 | 65% 22322-12252 (34574) |
OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $12.65 | $28.02 | +$15.37 | 49% 77787-81260 (159047) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 65.4¢ | $7.13 | — | -$7.13 | 66% 125065-64347 (189412) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 59¢ | $3.6 | — | -$3.6 | 61% 94330-59348 (153678) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.41 | — | -$0.41 | 59% 62091-43202 (105293) |
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$30.78
Value
—
PnL
-$30.78
Record
51%
7152-6771 (13923)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$36.83
Value
$35.87
PnL
-$0.96
Record
65%
22322-12252 (34574)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$12.65
Value
$28.02
PnL
+$15.37
Record
49%
77787-81260 (159047)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$7.13
Value
—
PnL
-$7.13
Record
66%
125065-64347 (189412)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$3.6
Value
—
PnL
-$3.6
Record
61%
94330-59348 (153678)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.41
Value
—
PnL
-$0.41
Record
59%
62091-43202 (105293)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x892ad888...aa2e05
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793265000