Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
5
Down 100%
2 arb excluded
$387.53
$14.53
Smart Money Signal
5 of 5 top traders (100%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 65.3¢ | $190.06 | $234 | +$43.94 | 51% 7133-6748 (13881) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 13¢ | $37.18 | — | -$37.18 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 65.3¢ | $152.88 | $234 | +$81.12 | |
 pspspsps5ARB<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $52.43 | $54.7 | +$2.27 | 46% 37996-44793 (82789) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 95¢ | $51.97 | $54.7 | +$2.73 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 1¢ | $0.46 | — | -$0.46 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 93.8¢ | $48.88 | $52.11 | +$3.24 | 65% 22283-12231 (34514) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 60.7¢ | $22.84 | $25.16 | +$2.32 | 49% 77765-81236 (159001) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $3.17 | $5 | +$1.83 | 52% 89734-84193 (173927) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 56.9¢ | $9.4 | $16.52 | +$7.12 | 66% 111803-58146 (169949) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $0.02 | $0.04 | +$0.02 | 55% 44407-36899 (81306) |
Invested
$190.06
Value
$234
PnL
+$43.94
Record
51%
7133-6748 (13881)
Both legs:
pspspsps5ARB<$100Invested
$52.43
Value
$54.7
PnL
+$2.27
Record
46%
37996-44793 (82789)
Both legs:
Invested
$48.88
Value
$52.11
PnL
+$3.24
Record
65%
22283-12231 (34514)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$22.84
Value
$25.16
PnL
+$2.32
Record
49%
77765-81236 (159001)
Invested
$3.17
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.83
Record
52%
89734-84193 (173927)
Invested
$9.4
Value
$16.52
PnL
+$7.12
Record
66%
111803-58146 (169949)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$0.02
Value
$0.04
PnL
+$0.02
Record
55%
44407-36899 (81306)
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