Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Down 89%
1 arb excluded
$250.54
$32.62
Smart Money Signal
8 of 9 top traders (89%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 79.9¢ | $106.5 | $97.2 | -$9.3 | 51% 7133-6748 (13881) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 79.9¢ | $77.66 | $97.2 | +$19.54 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 24.5¢ | $28.84 | — | -$28.84 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 72.4¢ | $44.07 | $53.72 | +$11.79 | 65% 22283-12231 (34514) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $32.61 | $42.35 | +$9.74 | 55% 49400-39611 (89011) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 29.7¢ | $9.01 | — | -$9.01 | 46% 37996-44793 (82789) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 52.4¢ | $14.49 | $20.27 | +$5.78 | 49% 77765-81236 (159001) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $13.28 | $16 | +$2.72 | 55% 44407-36899 (81306) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 30¢ | $1.8 | $6 | +$4.2 | 66% 125021-64333 (189354) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 27¢ | $1.35 | $5 | +$3.65 | 61% 94291-59323 (153614) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 27¢ | $1.35 | $5 | +$3.65 | 52% 89734-84193 (173927) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 63% 51496-30306 (81802) |
Invested
$106.5
Value
$97.2
PnL
-$9.3
Record
51%
7133-6748 (13881)
Both legs:
Invested
$44.07
Value
$53.72
PnL
+$11.79
Record
65%
22283-12231 (34514)
Invested
$32.61
Value
$42.35
PnL
+$9.74
Record
55%
49400-39611 (89011)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$9.01
Value
—
PnL
-$9.01
Record
46%
37996-44793 (82789)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$14.49
Value
$20.27
PnL
+$5.78
Record
49%
77765-81236 (159001)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$13.28
Value
$16
PnL
+$2.72
Record
55%
44407-36899 (81306)
Invested
$1.8
Value
$6
PnL
+$4.2
Record
66%
125021-64333 (189354)
Invested
$1.35
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.65
Record
61%
94291-59323 (153614)
Invested
$1.35
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.65
Record
52%
89734-84193 (173927)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
63%
51496-30306 (81802)
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