Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - October 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Down 63%
2 arb excluded
$325.28
$58.75
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 24.1Β’ | $114.9 | $114.41 | -$0.49 | 51% 7108-6729 (13837) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 24.1Β’ | $80.8 | β | -$80.8 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 29.8Β’ | $34.1 | $114.41 | +$80.31 | |
![]() OhioRiskManagementARB<$100 | Upavg 18.9Β’ | $15.15 | $81.72 | +$66.57 | 49% 77753-81199 (158952) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 7.6Β’ | $6.19 | $81.72 | +$75.53 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 18.9Β’ | $8.96 | β | -$8.96 | |
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 7.2Β’ | $8.08 | $73.44 | +$65.36 | 46% 37988-44761 (82749) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 8.6Β’ | $5.04 | β | -$5.04 | 58% 60246-43973 (104219) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 94Β’ | $27.1 | $28.83 | +$1.73 | 55% 44381-36870 (81251) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 78.3Β’ | $8.48 | $10.83 | +$2.35 | 66% 124974-64321 (189295) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 77Β’ | $6.2 | $8.05 | +$1.85 | 52% 89700-84165 (173865) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $7.92 | $8 | +$0.08 | 61% 94254-59306 (153560) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 68Β’ | $3.68 | β | -$3.68 | 65% 22230-12205 (34435) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 77Β’ | $3.85 | β | -$3.85 | 55% 17546-14181 (31727) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 8Β’ | $0.06 | β | -$0.06 | 62% 43648-26624 (70272) |
Invested
$114.9
Value
$114.41
PnL
-$0.49
Record
51%
7108-6729 (13837)
Both legs:
OhioRiskManagementARB<$100Invested
$15.15
Value
$81.72
PnL
+$66.57
Record
49%
77753-81199 (158952)
Both legs:
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$8.08
Value
$73.44
PnL
+$65.36
Record
46%
37988-44761 (82749)
Invested
$5.04
Value
β
PnL
-$5.04
Record
58%
60246-43973 (104219)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$27.1
Value
$28.83
PnL
+$1.73
Record
55%
44381-36870 (81251)
Invested
$8.48
Value
$10.83
PnL
+$2.35
Record
66%
124974-64321 (189295)
Invested
$6.2
Value
$8.05
PnL
+$1.85
Record
52%
89700-84165 (173865)
Invested
$7.92
Value
$8
PnL
+$0.08
Record
61%
94254-59306 (153560)
Invested
$3.68
Value
β
PnL
-$3.68
Record
65%
22230-12205 (34435)
Invested
$3.85
Value
β
PnL
-$3.85
Record
55%
17546-14181 (31727)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.06
Value
β
PnL
-$0.06
Record
62%
43648-26624 (70272)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage β excluded

OhioRiskManagement
ARBArbitrage β excluded

pspspsps5
Down β $73.44
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp β $0

MayorMamdani
Down β $28.83
asdaefef
Down β $10.83
dvasdkasodk
Down β $8.05
asidjasiodja
Down β $8
aaa221
CTRUp β $0
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp β $0