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OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100DownUpUpDown
pspspsps5CTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$57.8
Combined PnL
$0.43
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares142
Combined PnL-$6.09
Up2 traders
Total Value$57.8
Total Shares58
Combined PnL+$6.52
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 3.9¢ | $2.7 | — | -$2.7 | 49% 77653-81002 (158655) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 97¢ | $29.4 | $30.31 | +$0.91 | 65% 124499-66595 (191094) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 79.6¢ | $21.88 | $27.49 | +$5.61 | 65% 22059-12128 (34187) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 17.4¢ | $1.39 | — | -$1.39 | 51% 7002-6680 (13682) |
pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 3.1¢ | $2 | — | -$2 | 46% 37968-44693 (82661) |
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.7
Value
—
PnL
-$2.7
Record
49%
77653-81002 (158655)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$29.4
Value
$30.31
PnL
+$0.91
Record
65%
124499-66595 (191094)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$21.88
Value
$27.49
PnL
+$5.61
Record
65%
22059-12128 (34187)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$1.39
Value
—
PnL
-$1.39
Record
51%
7002-6680 (13682)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
46%
37968-44693 (82661)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb99045ff...c80f07
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793247000