Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Up 75%
1 arb excluded
$287.3
$126.17
Smart Money Signal
9 of 14 top traders (64%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $43.88 | $52.32 | +$8.45 | 51% 7002-6680 (13682) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 33¢ | $29.91 | — | -$29.91 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 26.7¢ | $13.96 | $52.32 | +$38.36 | |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 91.4¢ | $20.33 | — | -$20.33 | 65% 124499-66595 (191094) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 9.4¢ | $8.46 | $89.64 | +$81.18 | 49% 77653-81002 (158655) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 31.1¢ | $21.08 | $50 | +$28.92 | 57% 70079-53264 (123343) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 71.5¢ | $19.31 | $27 | +$7.69 | 63% 51408-30257 (81665) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 91.8¢ | $25.92 | — | -$25.92 | 65% 22059-12128 (34187) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 12.8¢ | $3.41 | $26.74 | +$23.33 | 46% 37968-44693 (82661) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 69.5¢ | $9.92 | — | -$9.92 | 66% 111736-58065 (169801) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 57.5¢ | $5.75 | $10 | +$4.25 | 55% 17472-14100 (31572) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $1.2 | $10 | +$8.8 | 66% 124869-64274 (189143) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $1.19 | $9.92 | +$8.73 | 61% 94187-59243 (153430) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $1.12 | $9.33 | +$8.21 | 52% 89634-84083 (173717) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99.9¢ | $2.35 | $2.35 | +$0 | 59% 62048-43126 (105174) |
0X 0xde5d9a7dce9faf8df086c066b698375c1d2d9192CTR<$100 | Downavg 55.6¢ | $9.95 | — | +$6.51 | 62% 118-72 (190) |
OX oxe78sh4w98CTR<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $7.47 | — | +$4.72 | 52% 360-327 (687) |
Invested
$43.88
Value
$52.32
PnL
+$8.45
Record
51%
7002-6680 (13682)
Both legs:
Invested
$20.33
Value
—
PnL
-$20.33
Record
65%
124499-66595 (191094)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$8.46
Value
$89.64
PnL
+$81.18
Record
49%
77653-81002 (158655)
Invested
$21.08
Value
$50
PnL
+$28.92
Record
57%
70079-53264 (123343)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$19.31
Value
$27
PnL
+$7.69
Record
63%
51408-30257 (81665)
Invested
$25.92
Value
—
PnL
-$25.92
Record
65%
22059-12128 (34187)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$3.41
Value
$26.74
PnL
+$23.33
Record
46%
37968-44693 (82661)
Invested
$9.92
Value
—
PnL
-$9.92
Record
66%
111736-58065 (169801)
Invested
$5.75
Value
$10
PnL
+$4.25
Record
55%
17472-14100 (31572)
Invested
$1.2
Value
$10
PnL
+$8.8
Record
66%
124869-64274 (189143)
Invested
$1.19
Value
$9.92
PnL
+$8.73
Record
61%
94187-59243 (153430)
Invested
$1.12
Value
$9.33
PnL
+$8.21
Record
52%
89634-84083 (173717)
Invested
$2.35
Value
$2.35
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
62048-43126 (105174)
Invested
$9.95
Value
—
PnL
+$6.51
Record
62%
118-72 (190)
Invested
$7.47
Value
—
PnL
+$4.72
Record
52%
360-327 (687)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
drfc4eybh7i8
CTRDown — $0
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $89.64
uninformedfloww
Up — $50
UpandDownSyndrome
Up — $27
aaa221
CTRDown — $0
pspspsps5
Up — $26.74
antsaslyku
CTRDown — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Up — $10
asdaefef
Up — $10