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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Resolved Up. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Down 55%

Total Value

$151.91

Combined PnL

-$8.26

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders
Total Value$151.91
Total Shares152
Combined PnL+$9.3
Down6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares92
Combined PnL-$17.56
Up — 45%Down — 55%
AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$55.73

Value

$42.87

PnL

+$2.87

Record

65%

22059-12128 (34187)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Up

Invested

$41.38

Value

$30.8

PnL

-$10.58

Record

51%

7002-6680 (13682)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$27.3

Value

$30

PnL

+$2.7

Record

65%

124499-66595 (191094)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100
Up

Invested

$20.6

Value

$35.74

PnL

+$15.14

Record

55%

17472-14100 (31572)

UN
uninformedfloww<$100
Up

Invested

$13.34

Value

$12.5

PnL

-$0.84

Record

57%

70079-53264 (123343)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.6

Value

—

PnL

-$3.6

Record

55%

44309-36802 (81111)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$9.14

Value

—

PnL

-$9.14

Record

49%

77653-81002 (158655)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.54

Value

—

PnL

-$1.54

Record

52%

89634-84083 (173717)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.54

Value

—

PnL

-$1.54

Record

61%

94187-59243 (153430)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.54

Value

—

PnL

-$1.54

Record

66%

124869-64274 (189143)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.2

Value

—

PnL

-$0.2

Record

46%

37968-44693 (82661)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x030c7504...d30f6f
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793246100

Traders in this Market

AA

aaa221

Up — $42.87

+$2.87
PL

ply-pm2

Up — $30.8

-$10.58
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $30

+$2.7
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $35.74

+$15.14
UN

uninformedfloww

Up — $12.5

-$0.84

MayorMamdani

CTR

Down — $0

-$3.6

OhioRiskManagement

CTR

Down — $0

-$9.14
DV

dvasdkasodk

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.54
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.54
AS

asdaefef

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.54
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