Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Resolved Down. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
7
Down 86%
1 arb excluded
$238.32
$54.53
Smart Money Signal
6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 19.5Β’ | $53.42 | $37.29 | -$16.13 | 51% 6965-6645 (13610) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 19.5Β’ | $29.02 | β | -$29.02 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 65.4Β’ | $24.4 | $37.29 | +$12.89 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 73.6Β’ | $38.5 | $52.32 | +$13.82 | 65% 21975-12079 (34054) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Downavg 47.5Β’ | $37.52 | $79 | +$41.48 | 58% 37465-26708 (64173) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 97.6Β’ | $45.05 | $40 | -$5.05 | 65% 124444-66560 (191004) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 50.6Β’ | $8.28 | $16.38 | +$8.1 | 55% 44266-36741 (81007) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 60Β’ | $5.05 | $8.33 | +$3.28 | 66% 111604-57865 (169469) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 48.8Β’ | $7.95 | β | -$7.95 | 55% 17439-14069 (31508) |
![]() UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 83Β’ | $4.15 | $5 | +$0.85 | 63% 51357-30230 (81587) |
Invested
$53.42
Value
$37.29
PnL
-$16.13
Record
51%
6965-6645 (13610)
Both legs:
Invested
$38.5
Value
$52.32
PnL
+$13.82
Record
65%
21975-12079 (34054)
Invested
$37.52
Value
$79
PnL
+$41.48
Record
58%
37465-26708 (64173)
Invested
$45.05
Value
$40
PnL
-$5.05
Record
65%
124444-66560 (191004)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$8.28
Value
$16.38
PnL
+$8.1
Record
55%
44266-36741 (81007)
Invested
$5.05
Value
$8.33
PnL
+$3.28
Record
66%
111604-57865 (169469)
Invested
$7.95
Value
β
PnL
-$7.95
Record
55%
17439-14069 (31508)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$4.15
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.85
Record
63%
51357-30230 (81587)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage β excluded
aaa221
Down β $52.32
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down β $79
drfc4eybh7i8
Down β $40

MayorMamdani
Down β $16.38
antsaslyku
Down β $8.33
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRUp β $0

UpandDownSyndrome
Down β $5