Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Down 70%
1 arb excluded
$460.34
$3.19
Smart Money Signal
7 of 10 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 47.9¢ | $195.02 | $292.72 | +$97.7 | 51% 6965-6645 (13610) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 47.9¢ | $102.17 | — | -$102.17 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 31.7¢ | $92.85 | $292.72 | +$199.87 | |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 50.8¢ | $20.9 | — | -$20.9 | 46% 37948-44658 (82606) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 51.7¢ | $48.29 | $50.37 | +$5.48 | 65% 124444-66560 (191004) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 47.2¢ | $18.89 | — | -$18.89 | 65% 21975-12079 (34054) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 46¢ | $14.09 | $23.45 | +$9.36 | 52% 89581-84030 (173611) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $10.98 | — | -$10.98 | 63% 51357-30230 (81587) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 62.5¢ | $28.26 | $45.24 | +$16.98 | 55% 44266-36741 (81007) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $6.11 | $10.82 | +$4.71 | 66% 111604-57865 (169469) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 47.3¢ | $10.53 | $17.94 | +$7.41 | 61% 94136-59204 (153340) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $4.91 | $10.01 | +$5.11 | 58% 50830-36973 (87803) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 49.9¢ | $4.88 | $9.79 | +$4.91 | 66% 124813-64240 (189053) |
Invested
$195.02
Value
$292.72
PnL
+$97.7
Record
51%
6965-6645 (13610)
Both legs:
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$20.9
Value
—
PnL
-$20.9
Record
46%
37948-44658 (82606)
Invested
$48.29
Value
$50.37
PnL
+$5.48
Record
65%
124444-66560 (191004)
Invested
$18.89
Value
—
PnL
-$18.89
Record
65%
21975-12079 (34054)
Invested
$14.09
Value
$23.45
PnL
+$9.36
Record
52%
89581-84030 (173611)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$10.98
Value
—
PnL
-$10.98
Record
63%
51357-30230 (81587)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$28.26
Value
$45.24
PnL
+$16.98
Record
55%
44266-36741 (81007)
Invested
$6.11
Value
$10.82
PnL
+$4.71
Record
66%
111604-57865 (169469)
Invested
$10.53
Value
$17.94
PnL
+$7.41
Record
61%
94136-59204 (153340)
Invested
$4.91
Value
$10.01
PnL
+$5.11
Record
58%
50830-36973 (87803)
Invested
$4.88
Value
$9.79
PnL
+$4.91
Record
66%
124813-64240 (189053)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
pspspsps5
CTRUp — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $50.37
aaa221
CTRUp — $0
dvasdkasodk
Down — $23.45
UpandDownSyndrome
CTRUp — $0
MayorMamdani
Down — $45.24
antsaslyku
Down — $10.82
asidjasiodja
Down — $17.94
PBot-6
Down — $10.01