Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Up 50%
1 arb excluded
$255.91
$1.79
Smart Money Signal
4 of 8 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 67.4¢ | $182.9 | $179.16 | -$3.74 | 51% 6935-6621 (13556) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 67.4¢ | $120.68 | $179.16 | +$58.48 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 20¢ | $62.22 | — | -$62.22 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 64.8¢ | $26.7 | $41.19 | +$14.48 | 65% 21925-12064 (33989) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 69.1¢ | $10.57 | $15.3 | +$4.73 | 63% 51338-30220 (81558) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 61¢ | $11.3 | $10.16 | -$1.13 | 55% 44239-36719 (80958) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $10 | $10.1 | +$0.1 | 59% 62020-43089 (105109) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 41.5¢ | $7.9 | — | -$7.9 | 65% 124408-66548 (190956) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 38¢ | $4.32 | — | -$4.32 | 66% 111604-57865 (169469) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 28¢ | $2.8 | — | -$2.8 | 55% 17411-14044 (31455) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 23¢ | $1.38 | — | -$1.38 | 66% 124759-64225 (188984) |
Invested
$182.9
Value
$179.16
PnL
-$3.74
Record
51%
6935-6621 (13556)
Both legs:
Invested
$26.7
Value
$41.19
PnL
+$14.48
Record
65%
21925-12064 (33989)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$10.57
Value
$15.3
PnL
+$4.73
Record
63%
51338-30220 (81558)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$11.3
Value
$10.16
PnL
-$1.13
Record
55%
44239-36719 (80958)
Invested
$10
Value
$10.1
PnL
+$0.1
Record
59%
62020-43089 (105109)
Invested
$7.9
Value
—
PnL
-$7.9
Record
65%
124408-66548 (190956)
Invested
$4.32
Value
—
PnL
-$4.32
Record
66%
111604-57865 (169469)
Invested
$2.8
Value
—
PnL
-$2.8
Record
55%
17411-14044 (31455)
Invested
$1.38
Value
—
PnL
-$1.38
Record
66%
124759-64225 (188984)
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