Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Down β but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
8
Down 57%
$62.16
-$21.17
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 96Β’ | $41.18 | $37 | -$4.18 | 65% 124408-66548 (190956) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 1.9Β’ | $1.77 | β | -$1.77 | 59% 62020-43089 (105109) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 30Β’ | $6.05 | $20.16 | +$14.11 | 55% 17411-14044 (31455) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 55Β’ | $20.95 | β | -$20.95 | 51% 6935-6621 (13556) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 98Β’ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 52% 89542-84009 (173551) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 10.6Β’ | $3.1 | β | -$3.1 | 46% 37937-44627 (82564) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 19Β’ | $1.33 | β | -$1.33 | 66% 124759-64225 (188984) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 67.5Β’ | $24.66 | β | -$4.05 | 65% 21925-12064 (33989) |
Invested
$41.18
Value
$37
PnL
-$4.18
Record
65%
124408-66548 (190956)
Invested
$1.77
Value
β
PnL
-$1.77
Record
59%
62020-43089 (105109)
Invested
$6.05
Value
$20.16
PnL
+$14.11
Record
55%
17411-14044 (31455)
Invested
$20.95
Value
β
PnL
-$20.95
Record
51%
6935-6621 (13556)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
52%
89542-84009 (173551)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$3.1
Value
β
PnL
-$3.1
Record
46%
37937-44627 (82564)
Invested
$1.33
Value
β
PnL
-$1.33
Record
66%
124759-64225 (188984)
Invested
$24.66
Value
β
PnL
-$4.05
Record
65%
21925-12064 (33989)
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