Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Down 75%
$91.2
-$1.65
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 79.4¢ | $48.5 | $61.09 | +$12.59 | 55% 44239-36719 (80958) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 16.2¢ | $5.7 | — | -$5.7 | 51% 6935-6621 (13556) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 93.7¢ | $28.2 | $30.11 | +$1.91 | 65% 124408-66548 (190956) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 6¢ | $1.18 | — | -$1.18 | 46% 37937-44627 (82564) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $3.33 | — | -$3.33 | 65% 21925-12064 (33989) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $2.1 | — | -$2.1 | 66% 124759-64225 (188984) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 33.9¢ | $2.04 | — | -$2.04 | 52% 89542-84009 (173551) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $1.8 | — | -$1.8 | 61% 94094-59183 (153277) |
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$48.5
Value
$61.09
PnL
+$12.59
Record
55%
44239-36719 (80958)
Invested
$5.7
Value
—
PnL
-$5.7
Record
51%
6935-6621 (13556)
Invested
$28.2
Value
$30.11
PnL
+$1.91
Record
65%
124408-66548 (190956)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.18
Value
—
PnL
-$1.18
Record
46%
37937-44627 (82564)
Invested
$3.33
Value
—
PnL
-$3.33
Record
65%
21925-12064 (33989)
Invested
$2.1
Value
—
PnL
-$2.1
Record
66%
124759-64225 (188984)
Invested
$2.04
Value
—
PnL
-$2.04
Record
52%
89542-84009 (173551)
Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
-$1.8
Record
61%
94094-59183 (153277)
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