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MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpUpDownDownDown
pspspsps5CTR<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 50%
Total Value
$63.68
Combined PnL
-$25.72
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares114
Combined PnL-$44.85
Down3 traders
Total Value$63.68
Total Shares64
Combined PnL+$19.13
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 33.6¢ | $27.1 | — | -$27.1 | 55% 44215-36703 (80918) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 13.1¢ | $14.47 | — | -$14.47 | 51% 6912-6596 (13508) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 51.4¢ | $29.13 | $31.52 | +$9.42 | 64% 21886-12047 (33933) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 67¢ | $14.85 | $22.16 | +$7.31 | 66% 111604-57865 (169469) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $7.6 | $10 | +$2.4 | 65% 124383-66536 (190919) |
pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 28.1¢ | $3.28 | — | -$3.28 | 46% 37929-44598 (82527) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$27.1
Value
—
PnL
-$27.1
Record
55%
44215-36703 (80918)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$14.47
Value
—
PnL
-$14.47
Record
51%
6912-6596 (13508)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$29.13
Value
$31.52
PnL
+$9.42
Record
64%
21886-12047 (33933)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$14.85
Value
$22.16
PnL
+$7.31
Record
66%
111604-57865 (169469)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$7.6
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.4
Record
65%
124383-66536 (190919)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$3.28
Value
—
PnL
-$3.28
Record
46%
37929-44598 (82527)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1a52c71c...87fd0a
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793227800