Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Up 50%
1 arb excluded
$438.13
$32.09
Smart Money Signal
4 of 8 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 41.2¢ | $180.04 | $232.04 | +$52 | 51% 6912-6596 (13508) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 41.2¢ | $95.51 | $232.04 | +$136.53 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 62.4¢ | $84.53 | — | -$84.53 | |
 MayorMamdani | Upavg 41.8¢ | $56.02 | $116.26 | +$60.24 | 55% 44215-36703 (80918) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $84.39 | $61 | -$23.39 | 65% 124383-66536 (190919) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 32.7¢ | $8.78 | $26.83 | +$18.05 | 46% 37929-44598 (82527) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 50.5¢ | $9.82 | — | -$9.82 | 63% 51325-30204 (81529) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 57.4¢ | $5.31 | — | -$5.31 | 52% 89516-83965 (173481) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $6.38 | — | -$6.38 | 64% 21886-12047 (33933) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 66% 124717-64207 (188924) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $0.3 | $2 | +$1.7 | 66% 111604-57865 (169469) |
Invested
$180.04
Value
$232.04
PnL
+$52
Record
51%
6912-6596 (13508)
Both legs:
MayorMamdaniInvested
$56.02
Value
$116.26
PnL
+$60.24
Record
55%
44215-36703 (80918)
Invested
$84.39
Value
$61
PnL
-$23.39
Record
65%
124383-66536 (190919)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$8.78
Value
$26.83
PnL
+$18.05
Record
46%
37929-44598 (82527)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$9.82
Value
—
PnL
-$9.82
Record
63%
51325-30204 (81529)
Invested
$5.31
Value
—
PnL
-$5.31
Record
52%
89516-83965 (173481)
Invested
$6.38
Value
—
PnL
-$6.38
Record
64%
21886-12047 (33933)
Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
66%
124717-64207 (188924)
Invested
$0.3
Value
$2
PnL
+$1.7
Record
66%
111604-57865 (169469)
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